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The Investment Divide: Tim Walz and America’s Financial Landscape

Wall Street Logic by Wall Street Logic
August 13, 2024
in Alternative Investments
The Investment Divide: Tim Walz and America’s Financial Landscape
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In today’s America, a curious divide exists – not between Republicans and Democrats, but between those who invest and those who don’t. Surprisingly, Tim Walz, the Democratic vice presidential nominee, finds himself on an unexpected side of this divide.

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Consider this: In 2022, 58% of Americans owned stock, either directly or through mutual funds. That’s a significant increase from 32% in 1989. Yet Walz, based on his 2019 financial disclosures and 2022 tax filings, appears to be in the minority. His records show no evidence of stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or even property ownership (he sold his house after becoming Minnesota’s governor). The only investment-like asset he reports is a small college savings plan, and even its allocation remains unclear.

One might think this positions Walz as a relatable figure. However, with more Americans than ever participating in the market, abstaining from investment is no longer the norm. In fact, it raises questions about financial literacy and risk management – especially for someone of Walz’s means.

To be clear, we don’t expect our political leaders to be investment gurus. In fact, owning individual stocks could present conflicts of interest. But even investing in index funds demonstrates a basic engagement with the market – a quality we might reasonably expect from our leaders.

So why isn’t Walz investing? The primary reason seems to be his relatively modest wealth compared to many politicians. His family’s estimated worth falls between $119,000 and $330,000. A life in public service isn’t typically lucrative unless supplemented by lobbying, speaking engagements, or book deals – none of which Walz has pursued.

While this might be commendable, it’s worth noting that Walz isn’t poor by national standards. The median net worth in America in 2022 was $190,000. Among households worth between $100,000 and $300,000, 59% owned some stock. So Walz’s complete absence from the market is somewhat puzzling.

Interestingly, Walz and his wife have accumulated a defined pension benefit valued at about $800,000. One could argue that since Minnesota public pensions are invested in stocks (and a surprisingly high amount in private equity), Walz has some indirect stock exposure. However, this exposure isn’t meaningful in practical terms. The state of Minnesota guarantees the pension for life, meaning Walz’s net worth doesn’t fluctuate with market performance.

This guaranteed income actually presents a compelling case for market investment. With a substantial, risk-free income floor, Walz is well-positioned to tolerate some market risk. Yet he seems to lean heavily towards extreme caution, even listing a life insurance policy as an asset – a move that suggests a willingness to pay high fees to avoid risk.

Of course, everyone has their own investment preferences. Perhaps Walz is extraordinarily risk-averse. Or maybe, like many Americans, he’s not as financially literate as he could be, potentially underestimating the benefits of market investment: diversification and participation in US economic growth.

This raises a question: Is this the financial approach we want from our leaders? Shouldn’t they be able to tolerate some level of calculated risk? Taking a long position in the stock market essentially expresses optimism about the future of the US economy – a stance one might expect from a potential national leader.

Walz’s investment strategy (or lack thereof) contrasts sharply with his Republican rival, JD Vance. Worth millions, Vance has made some eyebrow-raising choices, including investing up to $250,000 – a significant portion of his $4.2 million wealth – in Bitcoin. This could be interpreted as a bet against the dollar’s stability, which also suggests a lack of full confidence in the US economy.

The ability to take balanced risks is an admirable quality in a leader. So is a sophisticated understanding of global markets. While avoiding the stock market might be seen as a “man of the people” credential, it could also signal excessive caution or a lack of financial sophistication.

To be clear, America’s leaders don’t need to be wealthy or investment prodigies. But shouldn’t they have some level of engagement with markets? Not having any investments isn’t itself a reason to dismiss a candidate – there are far more critical issues at stake, and all candidates have their idiosyncrasies. But it is, admittedly, unusual.

In the end, Walz’s investment choices (or lack thereof) offer an intriguing glimpse into his approach to risk and financial management. It’s just one piece of the puzzle when evaluating a candidate, but it’s a piece worth considering. After all, in a world where an increasing number of Americans are engaging with the stock market, a leader’s approach to personal finance can be indicative of their broader economic vision.

As we approach another election cycle, it’s worth contemplating not just what our leaders say about the economy, but how they personally engage with it. It’s not the be-all and end-all, but it’s certainly food for thought. And in politics, as in investing, every bit of information counts.

 

 

Acknowledgment: This article was inspired by and includes information from "Tim Walz’s Investment Strategy Makes Him an Outlier" published on Wealthmanagement.com. For more detailed insights, you can read the full article here.
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